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  1. Vincenzo Crupi & Katya Tentori (forthcoming). State of the Field: Measuring Information and Confirmation. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A.
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  2. Vincenzo Crupi, Branden Fitelson, Ole Hjortland & Florian Steinberger (2013). Note of the Editors. Erkenntnis:1-1.
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  3. Katya Tentori & Vincenzo Crupi (2013). Why Quantum Probability Does Not Explain the Conjunction Fallacy. Behavioral and Brain Sciences 36 (3):308-310.
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  4. Katya Tentori, Vincenzo Crupi & Selena Russo (2013). On the Determinants of the Conjunction Fallacy: Probability Versus Inductive Confirmation. Journal of Experimental Psychology: General 142 (1):235.
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  5. Gustavo Cevolani, Vincenzo Crupi & Roberto Festa, A Verisimilitudinarian Analysis of the Linda Paradox. VII Conference of the Spanish Society for Logic, Methodology and Philosphy of Science.
    The Linda paradox is a key topic in current debates on the rationality of human reasoning and its limitations. We present a novel analysis of this paradox, based on the notion of verisimilitude as studied in the philosophy of science. The comparison with an alternative analysis based on probabilistic confirmation suggests how to overcome some problems of our account by introducing an adequately defined notion of verisimilitudinarian confirmation.
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  6. Vincenzo Crupi & Katya Tentori (2012). A Second Look at the Logic of Explanatory Power (with Two Novel Representation Theorems). Philosophy of Science 79 (3):365-385.
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  7. Katya Tentori & Vincenzo Crupi (2012). How the Conjunction Fallacy is Tied to Probabilistic Confirmation: Some Remarks on Schupbach (2009). Synthese 184 (1):3-12.
    Crupi et al. (Think Reason 14:182–199, 2008) have recently advocated and partially worked out an account of the conjunction fallacy phenomenon based on the Bayesian notion of confirmation. In response, Schupbach (2009) presented a critical discussion as following from some novel experimental results. After providing a brief restatement and clarification of the meaning and scope of our original proposal, we will outline Schupbach’s results and discuss his interpretation thereof arguing that they do not actually undermine our point of view if (...)
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  8. Katya Tentori & Vincenzo Crupi (2012). On the Conjunction Fallacy and the Meaning of and , yet Again: A Reply To. Cognition 122 (2):123-134.
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  9. Jiaying Zhao, Vincenzo Crupi, Katya Tentori, Branden Fitelson & Daniel Osherson (2012). Updating: Learning Versus Supposing. Cognition 124 (3):373-378.
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  10. Gustavo Cevolani, Vincenzo Crupi & Roberto Festa (2011). Verisimilitude and Belief Change for Conjunctive Theories. Erkenntnis 75 (2):183-202.
    Theory change is a central concern in contemporary epistemology and philosophy of science. In this paper, we investigate the relationships between two ongoing research programs providing formal treatments of theory change: the (post-Popperian) approach to verisimilitude and the AGM theory of belief change. We show that appropriately construed accounts emerging from those two lines of epistemological research do yield convergences relative to a specified kind of theories, here labeled “conjunctive”. In this domain, a set of plausible conditions are identified which (...)
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  11. Gustavo Cevolani, Vincenzo Crupi & Roberto Festa (2010). The Whole Truth About Linda: Probability, Verisimilitude and a Paradox of Conjunction. In Marcello D'Agostino, Federico Laudisa, Giulio Giorello, Telmo Pievani & Corrado Sinigaglia (eds.), New Essays in Logic and Philosophy of Science. College Publications. 603--615.
    We provide a 'verisimilitudinarian' analysis of the well-known Linda paradox or conjunction fallacy, i.e., the fact that most people judge the probability of the conjunctive statement "Linda is a bank teller and is active in the feminist movement" (B & F) as more probable than the isolated statement "Linda is a bank teller" (B), contrary to an uncontroversial principle of probability theory. The basic idea is that experimental participants may judge B & F a better hypothesis about Linda as compared (...)
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  12. Vincenzo Crupi, Roberto Festa & Carlo Buttasi (2010). Toward a Grammar of Bayesian Confirmation. In M. Suàrez, M. Dorato & M. Redéi (eds.), EPSA Epistemology and Methodology of Science: Launch of the a European Philosophy of Science Association. Springer. 73--93.
  13. Vincenzo Crupi & Stephan Hartmann (2010). Formal and Empirical Methods in Philosophy of Science. In Friedrich Stadler et al (ed.), The Present Situation in the Philosophy of Science. Springer. 87--98.
    This essay addresses the methodology of philosophy of science and illustrates how formal and empirical methods can be fruitfully combined. Special emphasis is given to the application of experimental methods to confirmation theory and to recent work on the conjunction fallacy, a key topic in the rationality debate arising from research in cognitive psychology. Several other issue can be studied in this way. In the concluding section, a brief outline is provided of three further examples.
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  14. Vincenzo Crupi & Katya Tentori (2010). Irrelevant Conjunction: Statement and Solution of a New Paradox. Philosophy of Science 77 (1):1-13.
    The so‐called problem of irrelevant conjunction has been seen as a serious challenge for theories of confirmation. It involves the consequences of conjoining irrelevant statements to a hypothesis that is confirmed by some piece of evidence. Following Hawthorne and Fitelson, we reconstruct the problem with reference to Bayesian confirmation theory. Then we extend it to the case of conjoining irrelevant statements to a hypothesis that is dis confirmed by some piece of evidence. As a consequence, we obtain and formally present (...)
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  15. Vincenzo Crupi, Roberto Festa & and Tommaso Mastropasqua (2008). Bayesian Confirmation by Uncertain Evidence: A Reply to Huber [2005]. British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 59 (2):201-211.
    Bayesian epistemology postulates a probabilistic analysis of many sorts of ordinary and scientific reasoning. Huber ([2005]) has provided a novel criticism of Bayesianism, whose core argument involves a challenging issue: confirmation by uncertain evidence. In this paper, we argue that under a properly defined Bayesian account of confirmation by uncertain evidence, Huber's criticism fails. By contrast, our discussion will highlight what we take as some new and appealing features of Bayesian confirmation theory. Introduction Uncertain Evidence and Bayesian Confirmation Bayesian Confirmation (...)
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  16. Vincenzo Crupi, Roberto Festa & Tommaso Mastropasqua (2008). Bayesian Confirmation by Uncertain Evidence: A Reply to Huber [2005]. British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 59 (2):201 - 211.
    Bayesian epistemology postulates a probabilistic analysis of many sorts of ordinary and scientific reasoning. Huber ([2005]) has provided a novel criticism of Bayesianism, whose core argument involves a challenging issue: confirmation by uncertain evidence. In this paper, we argue that under a properly defined Bayesian account of confirmation by uncertain evidence, Huber's criticism fails. By contrast, our discussion will highlight what we take as some new and appealing features of Bayesian confirmation theory.
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  17. Vincenzo Crupi, Branden Fitelson & Katya Tentori (2008). Probability, Confirmation, and the Conjunction Fallacy. Thinking and Reasoning 14 (2):182 – 199.
    The conjunction fallacy has been a key topic in debates on the rationality of human reasoning and its limitations. Despite extensive inquiry, however, the attempt to provide a satisfactory account of the phenomenon has proved challenging. Here we elaborate the suggestion (first discussed by Sides, Osherson, Bonini, & Viale, 2002) that in standard conjunction problems the fallacious probability judgements observed experimentally are typically guided by sound assessments of _confirmation_ relations, meant in terms of contemporary Bayesian confirmation theory. Our main formal (...)
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  18. Vincenzo Crupi, Katya Tentori & and Michel Gonzalez (2007). On Bayesian Measures of Evidential Support: Theoretical and Empirical Issues. Philosophy of Science 74 (2):229-252.
    Epistemologists and philosophers of science have often attempted to express formally the impact of a piece of evidence on the credibility of a hypothesis. In this paper we will focus on the Bayesian approach to evidential support. We will propose a new formal treatment of the notion of degree of confirmation and we will argue that it overcomes some limitations of the currently available approaches on two grounds: (i) a theoretical analysis of the confirmation relation seen as an extension of (...)
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  19. Vincenzo Crupi, Katya Tentori & Michel Gonzalez (2007). On Bayesian Measures of Evidential Support: Theoretical and Empirical Issues. Philosophy of Science 74 (2):229-252.
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  20. Katya Tentori, Vincenzo Crupi, Nicolao Bonini & Daniel Osherson (2007). Comparison of Confirmation Measures. Cognition 103 (1):107-119.
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  21. Vincenzo Crupi (2003). L'interpretazione in discussione. Universalità e linguisticità nell'ermeneutica filosofica. Iride 16 (3):493-510.
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  22. Vincenzo Crupi (2003). Review: Reframing Heidegger and Science. [REVIEW] Human Studies 26 (1):133 - 139.
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  23. Vincenzo Crupi (2003). Trish Galzebrook, Heidegger's Philosophy of Science. Human Studies 26 (1):133-139.
  24. Vincenzo Crupi (2002). Ancora Duhem E Quine. Epistemologia 25:5-38.
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  25. Vincenzo Crupi (2000). Epistemologia del caso-AIDS: un case-study per la metodologia dei programmi di ricerca scientifici. Epistemologia 23 (2):243-280.
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  26. Vincenzo Crupi (2000). Tematizzazione e matematizzazione: Note sulla filosofia della scienza di Heidegger (1925-1938). Filosofia 51 (2):251-277.
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  27. Vincenzo Crupi (1999). Hempel Vs. Lakatos. La Metodologia Dei Programmi di Ricerca Scientifici E Il Problema Dei Presupposti. Epistemologia 22 (2):189-222.
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  28. Vincenzo Crupi (1999). Scienza, ontologia, metafisica. Heidegger e i nomi della filosofia. Iride 12 (3):627-646.
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  29. Vincenzo Crupi (1996). An Argument for Not Equating Confirmation and Explanatory Power. Philosophy of Science 63:21-6.
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