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  1.  5
    Coherently updating degrees of belief: Radical Probabilism, the generalization of Bayes' Theorem and its consequences on evidence evaluation.Franco Taroni, Paolo Garbolino & Silvia Bozza - 2021 - Law, Probability and Risk 19 (3-4):293-316.
    The Bayesian perspective is based on conditioning related to reported evidence that is considered to be certain. What is called ‘Radical Probabilism’ replaces such an extreme view by introducing uncertainty on the reported evidence. How can such equivocal evidence be used in further inferences about a main hypothesis? The theoretical ground is introduced with the aim of offering to the readership an explanation for the generalization of the Bayes’ Theorem. This extension—that considers uncertainty related to the reporting of evidence—also has (...)
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  2.  5
    A probabilistic account of the concept of cross-transfer and inferential interactions for trace materials.Franco Taroni, Patrick Juchli & Colin Aitken - 2021 - Law, Probability and Risk 19 (3-4):221-233.
    The analysis of inferential interactions plays an important role in the description of the line of reasoning for a forensic evaluator in a case involving the cross-transfer of evidence. It is possible the two items of evidence may mean more to an evaluator when considered jointly than they do if considered separately. An approach to the evaluation of evidence, with particular attention to the factors that need to be considered, is described for a case involving the cross-transfer of evidence. A (...)
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