人工知能学会論文誌
Online ISSN : 1346-8030
Print ISSN : 1346-0714
ISSN-L : 1346-0714
論文
情報伝達と資産収益率分布に関する統計的特性との関係
参沢 匡将渡邊 恭子下川 哲矢
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ジャーナル フリー

2007 年 22 巻 3 号 p. 256-262

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抄録

Recently, we proposed an agent-based model called the word of mouth model to analyze the influence of an information transmission process to price formation in financial markets. Especially, the short-term predictability of asset return was focused on and an explanation in the view of information transmission was provided to the question why the predictability was much clearly observed in the small-sized stocks. This paper, to extend the previous study, demonstrates that the word of mouth model also has a consistency with other important financial stylized facts. This strengthens the possibility that the information transmission among investors plays a crucial role in price formation. Concretely, this paper addresses two famous statistical features of returns; the leptokurtic distribution of return and the autocorrelation of return volatility. The reasons why these statistical facts receive especial attentions of researchers among financial stylized facts are their statistical robustness and practical importance, such as the applications to the derivative pricing problems.

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© 2007 JSAI (The Japanese Society for Artificial Intelligence)
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