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Climate Change Assessments: Confidence, Probability, and Decision

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 January 2022

Richard Bradley ,
Casey Helgeson  and
Brian Hill
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Abstract

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has developed a novel framework for assessing and communicating uncertainty in the findings published in its periodic assessment reports. But how should these uncertainty assessments inform decisions? We take a formal decision-making perspective to investigate how scientific input formulated in the IPCC’s novel framework might inform decisions in a principled way through a normative decision model.

Type
Research Article
Information
Philosophy of Science , Volume 84 , Issue 3 , July 2017 , pp. 500 - 522
Copyright
Copyright © The Philosophy of Science Association

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