Abstract
In this paper I demonstrate that the causal structure of flagpole-like systems can be determined by application of causal graph theory. Additional information about the ordering of events in time or about how parameters of the systems of interest can be manipulated is not needed.
Similar content being viewed by others
Notes
In Sect. 1 I promised to solve the flagpole problem (i.e., to infer the causal structure of the flagpole scenario on the basis of a given probability distribution) without reference to interventions. However, interventions are not used in determining the causal structure of the flagpole scenario and thus, the use of interventions in motivating the dependence/independence relations in P is harmless in regard to this promise.
References
Glymour, C., Spirtes, P., & Scheines, R. (1991). Causal inference. Erkenntnis, 35, 151–189.
Pearl, J. (1997). Probabilistic reasoning in intelligent systems. San Francisco: Morgan Kaufmann.
Pearl, J. (2009). Causality. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Reichenbach, H. (1949). The theory of probability. Berkeley: University of California Press.
Reichenbach, H. (1956). The direction of time. Berkeley: University of California Press.
Schurz, G. (2001). Causal asymmetries, independent versus dependent variables, and the direction of time. In W. Spohn, M. Ledwig, & M. Esfeld (Eds.), Current issues in causation (pp. 47–67). Paderborn: Mentis.
Spirtes, P., Glymour, C., & Scheines, R. (2000). Causation, prediction, and search. Cambridge: The MIT Press.
Acknowledgments
This work was supported by DFG, research unit Causation | Laws | Dispositions | Explanation (FOR 1063). My thanks go to Stathis Psillos as well as to two anonymous referees for their helpful comments and to my PhD advisor Gerhard Schurz for his great support. Thanks also to Christian J. Feldbacher and Alexander G. Mirnig for constructive criticism of an earlier version of the paper.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Additional information
An erratum to this article is available at http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10838-015-9311-y.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Gebharter, A. Solving the Flagpole Problem. J Gen Philos Sci 44, 63–67 (2013). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10838-013-9208-6
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10838-013-9208-6