Probability is the Very Guide of Life: The Philosophical Uses of ChanceHenry Ely Kyburg, Mariam Thalos The theory of probability grew up in gaming rooms, graduated to insurance companies, and was eventually applied by philosophers to all kinds of ordinary choices. This collection represents the best recent work on the subject and includes essays by Clark Glymour, James H. Fetzer, and Wesley C. Salmon. |
Contents
Reichenbach Reference Classes and SingleCase | 3 |
Chapter 2 Timothy McGrew Direct Inference and the Problem | 26 |
Direct Inference and the Problem of Induction | 33 |
Objective Modality and Direct Inference | 61 |
Severe Testing as a Guide for Inductive Learning | 89 |
A Marriage Made | 119 |
Probability as a Guide in Life | 135 |
A Dilemma for Objective Chance | 153 |
Causal Generalizations and Good Advice | 205 |
Instrumental Probability | 235 |
What Is Wrong with Bayes Nets? | 253 |
Dont Take Unnecessary Chances | 277 |
The Reduction of Causation | 295 |
Is It a Crime to Belong to a Reference Class? | 331 |
Explaining Things Probabilistically | 349 |
| 358 | |
Other editions - View all
Probability is the Very Guide of Life: The Philosophical Uses of Chance Henry Ely Kyburg,Mariam Thalos No preview available - 2003 |
Common terms and phrases
antireductionists argue argument assignments background conditions balls Bayes's rule Bayes's Theorem Bayesian Cambridge Cartwright causal Markov condition causal theorist causally relevant causes lung cancer claim coin toss conditional probability correlations Cosmides Cosmides and Tooby decision theory degrees of belief direct inference effect epistemic error example expected utility fact factors Fetzer finite frequentist function given Hempel's homogeneous reference class hypothesis interpretation of probability Kyburg land heads logical lung cancer measure Mellor methods modal judgments notion objective chance objective probability outcome philosophical Philosophy of Science population possible precisely predicates principle prior probability prob probabilistic problem of induction propensity proposal question random rational reason reductionist reference-class problem Reichenbach reject relations relative frequency requirement Salmon sample space sentence severe test Shonubi Simpson's Paradox single-case smoking specific statements Statistical Explanation statistical relevance suppose tion trial of kind true truth University Press values variables Wesley Salmon