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Nonconsequentialist Precaution

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Abstract

How cautious should regulators be? A standard answer is consequentialist: regulators should be just cautious enough to maximize expected social value. This paper charts the prospects of a nonconsequentialist - and more precautionary - alternative. More specifically, it argues that a contractualism focused on ex ante consent can motivate the following regulatory criterion: regulators should permit a socially beneficial risky activity only if no one can be expected to be made worse off by it. Broadly speaking, there are two strategies regulators can use to help risky activities satisfy this criterion: regulators can mandate strict safety standards that protect those who would otherwise stand to lose, and they can require that some of the benefits of the activity be redirected to them. In developing these themes, the paper aims to provide a theoretical grounding for those who oppose using risk-cost-benefit analysis as the primary regulatory standard, and in particular, for advocates of the precautionary principle.

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Notes

  1. Available at http://www.sehn.org/wing.html

  2. The contemporary locus classicus is Scanlon (1998).

  3. Sunstein (2003) takes this to be a damning objection to the Precautionary Principle. And given that the Wingspread version of the principle reads ‘When an activity raises threats of harm to human health or the environment, precautionary measures should be taken…’ his charge has some initial credibility.

  4. This would constitute a break with Scanlon (1998), as he there frames contractualism exclusively in terms of the ex post perspective. Recently, though, he has allowed that this might have been a mistake. See Scanlon (2013), p. 510.

  5. Hansson (2013), p. 108. Fletcher (1972) is the pioneering work for the normative implications of mutually beneficial systems of risk imposition.

  6. We thus have a contractualist justification of one of the central tenets of the Wingspread Statement on the Precautionary Principle: “The process of applying the Precautionary Principle must be open, informed and democratic and must include potentially affected parties.”

  7. This is Elizabeth Ashford’s conclusion. In her words, “for many … activities, not all of those who face the remote risk of being killed by the activity could have expected to benefit from it. Forgoing all activities of [this] kind could significantly impoverish agents’ lives. However, as long as their lives would still be well worth living, then the cost to each of them of the extensive burden of avoiding the risk would be less than the cost to another individual of actually being killed by the activity. Therefore, measures which reduced the extremely remote risk of death to a few individuals would be justified even if they severely impoverished the lives of millions.” (2003), pp. 299–300. The problem is also discussed in Lenman (2008) and Fried (2012).

  8. Some merits of such a system are discussed in Lin (2005)

  9. In the rare cases in which people who stand to gain nothing at all from an activity are exposed to risks of near instantaneous death, benefits delivered after the loss is suffered will not be able to make the expected value positive, for obvious reasons. There direct ex ante transfers may be necessary to legitimize the risk imposition.

  10. Reeves (2014) gives a broadly Rawlsian argument for holding companies strictly liable for harms generated by especially risky activities, even retroactively.

  11. Strand (1983) and Lin (2005) lay out further barriers to recouping damages for environmental injury in ex post tort systems.

  12. New Zealand has instituted just such a scheme as an alternative to tort law for accidental harms.

  13. This alternative is inspired by Tideman and Plassmann (2010).

  14. Caney (2012) develops a similar point in the context of climate policy.

References

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Acknowledgments

I would like to thank my colleagues Anja Karnein and Anthony Reeves, as well as two anonymous referees, for their helpful comments on earlier drafts of this article.

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Correspondence to Christopher Morgan-Knapp.

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Morgan-Knapp, C. Nonconsequentialist Precaution. Ethic Theory Moral Prac 18, 785–797 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10677-014-9552-6

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10677-014-9552-6

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