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Epidemical spread of scientific objects: An attempt of empirical approach to some problems of meta-science

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The paper deals with problems of prediction of spreading out of scientific objects, such as theories, hypotheses, methods etc. Two models for predicting changes in number of publications dealing with the given subjects in consecutive years are suggested; these models are based on the theory of epidemics.

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Nowakowska, M. Epidemical spread of scientific objects: An attempt of empirical approach to some problems of meta-science. Theor Decis 3, 262–297 (1973). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00139506

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