Elsevier

Artificial Intelligence

Volume 158, Issue 1, September 2004, Pages 97-106
Artificial Intelligence

Research Note
The limitation of Bayesianism

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.artint.2003.09.003Get rights and content
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Abstract

In the current discussion about the capacity of Bayesianism in reasoning under uncertainty, there is a conceptual and notational confusion between the explicit condition and the implicit condition of a probability evaluation. Consequently, the limitation of Bayesianism is often seriously underestimated. To represent the uncertainty of a belief system where revision is needed, it is not enough to assign a probability value to each belief.

Keywords

Bayes' Theorem
Conditioning
Jeffrey's rule
Revision
Updating
Ignorance
Sensitivity

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