Curve-Fitting for Bayesians?

Authors
Gordon Belot
University of Michigan, Ann Arbor
Abstract
Bayesians often assume, suppose, or conjecture that for any reasonable explication of the notion of simplicity a prior can be designed that will enforce a preference for hypotheses simpler in just that sense. Further, it is often claimed that the Bayesian framework automatically implements Occam's razor—that conditionalizing on data consistent with both a simple theory and a complex theory more or less inevitably favours the simpler theory. But it is shown here that there are simplicity-driven approaches to curve-fitting problems that cannot be captured within the orthodox Bayesian framework and that the automatic razor does not function for such problems.
Keywords Bayesian  Curve-Fitting  Ockham's Razor
Categories (categorize this paper)
DOI 10.1093/bjps/axv061
Options
Edit this record
Mark as duplicate
Export citation
Find it on Scholar
Request removal from index
Revision history

Download options

Our Archive


Upload a copy of this paper     Check publisher's policy     Papers currently archived: 37,153
Through your library

References found in this work BETA

Humean Supervenience Debugged.David Lewis - 1994 - Mind 103 (412):473--490.
Scientific Reasoning: The Bayesian Approach.Colin Howson & Peter Urbach - 1997 - British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 48 (1):126-131.

View all 17 references / Add more references

Citations of this work BETA

No citations found.

Add more citations

Similar books and articles

Curve-Fitting for Bayesians?Belot Gordon - 2017 - British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 68 (3):689-702.
Forster and Sober on the Curve-Fitting Problem.André Kukla - 1995 - British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 46 (2):248-252.
For Bayesians, Rational Modesty Requires Imprecision.Brian James Weatherson - 2015 - Ergo: An Open Access Journal of Philosophy 2.
The Golfer's Dilemma: A Reply to Kukla on Curve-Fitting.Malcolm R. Forster - 1995 - British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 46 (3):348-360.
The Goodman-Kripke Paradox.Robert Kowalenko - 2003 - Dissertation, King's College London
A Gruesome Problem for the Curve-Fitting Solution.S. DeVito - 1997 - British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 48 (3):391-396.
The Curve Fitting Problem: A Solution.Peter Turney - 1990 - British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 41 (4):509-530.
Inductive Inference and Stability.Peter David Turney - 1988 - Dissertation, University of Toronto (Canada)
Akaike Information Criterion, Curve-Fitting, and the Philosophical Problem of Simplicity.I. Kieseppa - 1997 - British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 48 (1):21-48.
The Curve-Fitting Problem: An Objectivist View.Stanley A. Mulaik - 2001 - Philosophy of Science 68 (2):218-241.

Analytics

Added to PP index
2018-01-02

Total downloads
4 ( #809,968 of 2,308,619 )

Recent downloads (6 months)
3 ( #215,465 of 2,308,619 )

How can I increase my downloads?

Monthly downloads

My notes

Sign in to use this feature