Bayesian Epistemology

In Duncan Pritchard & Sven Bernecker (eds.), The Routledge Companion to Epistemology. Routledge (forthcoming)
Stephan Hartmann
Ludwig Maximilians Universität, München
Jan Sprenger
University of Turin
Bayesian epistemology addresses epistemological problems with the help of the mathematical theory of probability. It turns out that the probability calculus is especially suited to represent degrees of belief (credences) and to deal with questions of belief change, confirmation, evidence, justification, and coherence. Compared to the informal discussions in traditional epistemology, Bayesian epis- temology allows for a more precise and fine-grained analysis which takes the gradual aspects of these central epistemological notions into account. Bayesian epistemology therefore complements traditional epistemology; it does not re- place it or aim at replacing it.
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