Scientific Uncertainty: A User's Guide

Grantham Institute on Climate Change Discussion Paper (2012)
Authors
Seamus Bradley
University of Leeds
Abstract
There are different kinds of uncertainty. I outline some of the various ways that uncertainty enters science, focusing on uncertainty in climate science and weather prediction. I then show how we cope with some of these sources of error through sophisticated modelling techniques. I show how we maintain confidence in the face of error.
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