Fallibilism, Verisimilitude, and the Preface Paradox

Erkenntnis 82 (1):169-183 (2017)
Authors
Gustavo Cevolani
IMT School For Advanced Studies Lucca
Abstract
The Preface Paradox apparently shows that it is sometimes rational to believe logically incompatible propositions. In this paper, I propose a way out of the paradox based on the ideas of fallibilism and verisimilitude. More precisely, I defend the view that a rational inquirer can fallibly believe or accept a proposition which is false, or likely false, but verisimilar; and I argue that this view makes the Preface Paradox disappear. Some possible objections to my proposal, and an alternative view of fallible belief, are briefly discussed in the final part of the paper.
Keywords Preface Paradox  Truthlikeness  Verisimilitude  Rationality  Belief  Acceptance  Bayesian epistemology
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DOI 10.1007/s10670-016-9811-0
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References found in this work BETA

The Stability Theory of Belief.Hannes Leitgeb - 2014 - Philosophical Review 123 (2):131-171.
Beliefs, Degrees of Belief, and the Lockean Thesis.Richard Foley - 2009 - In Franz Huber & Christoph Schmidt-Petri (eds.), Degrees of Belief. Springer. pp. 37-47.
Truthlikeness.Ilkka Niiniluoto - 1989 - Journal of Symbolic Logic 54 (1):297-300.

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