A Phenomenological Approach to the Bayesian Grue Problem

Aporia 22 (1):1-12 (2022)
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Abstract

It is a common intuition in scientific practice that positive instances confirm. This confirmation, at least based purely on syntactic considerations, is what Nelson Goodman’s ‘Grue Problem’, and more generally the ‘New Riddle’ of Induction, attempt to defeat. One treatment of the Grue Problem has been made along Bayesian lines, wherein the riddle reduces to a question of probability assignments. In this paper, I consider this so-called Bayesian Grue Problem and evaluate how one might proffer a solution to this problem utilizing what I call a phenomenological approach. I argue that this approach to the problem can be successful on the Bayesian framework.

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Ibrahim Dagher
Yale University

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References found in this work

Fact, Fiction, and Forecast.Nelson Goodman - 1983 - Cambridge: Harvard University Press.
The Logic of Decision.Richard C. Jeffrey - 1965 - New York, NY, USA: University of Chicago Press.
Goodman’s “New Riddle‘.Branden Fitelson - 2008 - Journal of Philosophical Logic 37 (6):613-643.
Confirmation and law-likeness.Elliott Sober - 1988 - Philosophical Review 97 (1):93-98.
Grue!: The New Riddle of Induction.Douglas Frank Stalker (ed.) - 1994 - Chicago and La Salle, IL: Open Court.

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