Graded Incoherence for Accuracy-Firsters

Philosophy of Science 84 (2):189-213 (2017)
Abstract
This paper investigates the relationship between two evaluative claims about agents’ de- grees of belief: (i) that it is better to have more, rather than less accurate degrees of belief, and (ii) that it is better to have less, rather than more probabilistically incoherent degrees of belief. We show that, for suitable combinations of inaccuracy measures and incoherence measures, both claims are compatible, although not equivalent; moreover, certain ways of becoming less incoherent always guarantee improvements in accuracy. Incompatibilities between particular incoherence and inaccuracy measures can be exploited to argue against particular ways of measuring either inaccuracy or incoherence.
Keywords incoherence  inaccuracy  accuracy  coherence  Bayesianism
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DOI 10.1086/690715
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Why Be Coherent?Glauber De Bona & Julia Staffel - forthcoming - Analysis:anx159.

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