Analysis 78 (3):405-415 (2018)

Authors
Julia Staffel
University of Colorado, Boulder
Abstract
Bayesians defend norms of ideal rationality such as probabilism, which they claim should be approximated by non-ideal thinkers. Yet, it is not often discussed exactly in what sense it is beneficial for an agent’s credence function to approximate probabilistic coherence. Some existing research indicates that approximating coherence leads to improvements in accuracy, whereas other research suggests that it decreases Dutch book vulnerability. Yet, the existing results don’t settle whether there is a way of approximating coherence that delivers both benefits at once. We show that there is.
Keywords coherence  incoherence  probabilism  degree of belief  credence  accuracy  Dutch book  idealization  rationality
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DOI 10.1093/analys/anx159
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References found in this work BETA

Philosophical Explanations.Robert Nozick - 1981 - Harvard University Press.
Bayes or Bust?John Earman - 1992 - Bradford.
Accuracy and Coherence: Prospects for an Alethic Epistemology of Partial Belief.James Joyce - 2009 - In Franz Huber & Christoph Schmidt-Petri (eds.), Degrees of Belief. Synthese. pp. 263-297.
The Cement of the Universe.J. L. Mackie - 1974 - Oxford, Clarendon Press.

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Citations of this work BETA

Epistemic Consequentialism. [REVIEW]Kevin Dorst - 2020 - Philosophical Review 129 (3):484-489.
Should Agents Be Immodest?Marc‐Kevin Daoust - forthcoming - Analytic Philosophy.
Interpretations of Probability.Alan Hájek - 2007 - Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy.
Counterfactuals and Probability. [REVIEW]Justin Khoo - 2020 - Philosophical Review 129 (3):489-495.

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