Analysis (forthcoming)

Authors
Kevin Dorst
University of Pittsburgh
Abstract
Many have claimed that whenever an investigation might provide evidence for a claim, it might also provide evidence against it. Similarly, many have claimed that your credence should never be on the edge of the range of credences that you think might be rational. Surprisingly, both of these principles imply that you cannot rationally be modest: you cannot be uncertain what the rational opinions are.
Keywords higher-order uncertainty  reflection principles  intentionally biased inquiry  epistemic modesty  probabilistic epistemic logic
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