The Probabilities of Conditionals Revisited

Cognitive Science 37 (4):711-730 (2013)
Authors
Igor Douven
Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique
Abstract
According to what is now commonly referred to as “the Equation” in the literature on indicative conditionals, the probability of any indicative conditional equals the probability of its consequent of the conditional given the antecedent of the conditional. Philosophers widely agree in their assessment that the triviality arguments of Lewis and others have conclusively shown the Equation to be tenable only at the expense of the view that indicative conditionals express propositions. This study challenges the correctness of that assessment by presenting data that cast doubt on an assumption underlying all triviality arguments
Keywords Probability  Triviality arguments  Conditionals  Semantics
Categories (categorize this paper)
DOI 10.1111/cogs.12025
Options
Edit this record
Mark as duplicate
Export citation
Find it on Scholar
Request removal from index
Revision history

Download options

Our Archive


Upload a copy of this paper     Check publisher's policy     Papers currently archived: 35,898
Through your library

References found in this work BETA

On Conditionals.Dorothy Edgington - 1995 - Mind 104 (414):235-329.
Truthlikeness.Graham Oddie - 2014 - Stanford Encyclopedia.

View all 34 references / Add more references

Citations of this work BETA

What Verities May Be.Igor Douven & Lieven Decock - 2017 - Mind 126 (502):386-428.

View all 21 citations / Add more citations

Similar books and articles

The Fall of “Adams' Thesis”?Alan Hájek - 2012 - Journal of Logic, Language and Information 21 (2):145-161.
Conditionals, Probability, and Non-Triviality.Charles G. Morgan & Edwin D. Mares - 1995 - Journal of Philosophical Logic 24 (5):455-467.
Conditionals.Frank Jackson (ed.) - 1987 - Oxford University Press.
Probability and the Logic of de Finetti's Trievents.Alberto Mura - 2009 - In Maria Carla Galavotti (ed.), Bruno de Finetti Radical Probabilist. College Publications. pp. 201--242.
Probability and Conditionals.Robert C. Stalnaker - 1970 - Philosophy of Science 37 (1):64-80.
Multidimensional Possible-World Semantics for Conditionals.R. Bradley - 2012 - Philosophical Review 121 (4):539-571.

Analytics

Added to PP index
2013-03-01

Total downloads
86 ( #75,827 of 2,293,852 )

Recent downloads (6 months)
10 ( #48,736 of 2,293,852 )

How can I increase my downloads?

Monthly downloads

My notes

Sign in to use this feature