The Suppositional Ramsey Test and Decision-Instability

Topoi (1):53-57 (2011)
Authors
Simone Duca
Bristol University
Abstract
Abstract I analyse the relationship between the Ramsey Test (RT) for the acceptance of indicative conditionals and the so-called problem of decision-instability. In particular, I argue that the situations which allegedly bring about this problem are troublesome just in case the relevant conditionals are evaluated by non-suppositional versions, e.g. causal/evidential, of the test. In contrast, a suppositional RT, by highlighting the metacognitive nature of the evaluation of indicative conditionals, allows an agent to run a simulation of such evaluation, without yet committing her to the acceptance of such conditionals. I conclude that a suppositional interpretation of RT is superior to its nonsuppositional counterparts and by briefly showing that a suppositional RT is compatible with a deliberational decision theory
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DOI 10.1007/s11245-010-9090-3
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The Toxin Puzzle.Gregory S. Kavka - 1983 - Analysis 43 (1):33-36.
Metacognition of Agency.Janet Metcalfe & Matthew Jason Greene - 2007 - Journal of Experimental Psychology: General 136 (2):184-199.
Some Counterexamples to Causal Decision Theory.Andy Egan - 2007 - Philosophical Review 116 (1):93-114.

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