Estimating Conditional Chances and Evaluating Counterfactuals

Studia Logica 102 (4):691-707 (2014)

Authors
Dorothy Edgington
Birkbeck College
Abstract
The paper addresses a puzzle about the probabilistic evaluation of counterfactuals, raised by Ernest Adams as a problem for his own theory. I discuss Brian Skyrms’s response to the puzzle. I compare this puzzle with other puzzles about counterfactuals that have arisen more recently. And I attempt to solve the puzzle in a way that is consistent with Adams’s proposal about counterfactuals
Keywords Conditional probability  Conditional judgements  Counterfactuals  Ernest Adams  Brian Skyrms  The law of total conditional probability
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DOI 10.1007/s11225-013-9514-3
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References found in this work BETA

Counterfactuals.Dorothy Edgington - 2008 - Proceedings of the Aristotelian Society 108 (1pt1):1-21.
Conditioning Against the Grain.Stefan Kaufmann - 2004 - Journal of Philosophical Logic 33 (6):583-606.
I-Counterfactuals.Dorothy Edgington - 2008 - Proceedings of the Aristotelian Society 108 (1pt1):1-21.
Kaufmann on the Probabilities of Conditionals.Igor Douven - 2008 - Journal of Philosophical Logic 37 (3):259-266.
Time in Counterfactuals.Michael A. Slote - 1978 - Philosophical Review 87 (1):3-27.

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