Why Bayesian Psychology Is Incomplete

Philosophy of Science 66 (S1):S379 - S389 (1999)
Abstract
Bayesian psychology, in what is perhaps its most familiar version, is incomplete: Jeffrey conditionalization is not a complete account of rational belief change. Jeffrey conditionalization is sensitive to the order in which the evidence arrives. This order effect can be so pronounced as to call for a belief adjustment that cannot be understood as an assimilation of incoming evidence by Jeffrey's rule. Hartry Field's reparameterization of Jeffrey's rule avoids the order effect but fails as an account of how new evidence should be assimilated
Keywords No keywords specified (fix it)
Categories (categorize this paper)
DOI 10.1086/392739
Options
 Save to my reading list
Follow the author(s)
Edit this record
My bibliography
Export citation
Find it on Scholar
Mark as duplicate
Request removal from index
Revision history
Download options
Our Archive


Upload a copy of this paper     Check publisher's policy     Papers currently archived: 31,404
External links

Setup an account with your affiliations in order to access resources via your University's proxy server
Configure custom proxy (use this if your affiliation does not provide a proxy)
Through your library
References found in this work BETA

No references found.

Add more references

Citations of this work BETA
Three Models of Sequential Belief Updating on Uncertain Evidence.James Hawthorne - 2004 - Journal of Philosophical Logic 33 (1):89-123.

Add more citations

Similar books and articles
Why Bayesian Psychology is Incomplete.Frank Döring - 1999 - Philosophy of Science 66 (3):389.
Bayesianism Without the Black Box.Mark Kaplan - 1989 - Philosophy of Science 56 (1):48-69.
Bayesianism and Diverse Evidence.Andrew Wayne - 1995 - Philosophy of Science 62 (1):111-121.
Bayesian Probability.Patrick Maher - 2010 - Synthese 172 (1):119 - 127.
Bayesianism and Reliable Scientific Inquiry.Cory Juhl - 1993 - Philosophy of Science 60 (2):302-319.
Bayes in the Brain--On Bayesian Modelling in Neuroscience.M. Colombo & P. Series - 2012 - British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 63 (3):697-723.
The Role of Bayesian Philosophy Within Bayesian Model Selection.Jan Sprenger - 2013 - European Journal for Philosophy of Science 3 (1):101-114.
Added to PP index
2010-08-24

Total downloads
29 ( #198,788 of 2,226,007 )

Recent downloads (6 months)
4 ( #141,472 of 2,226,007 )

How can I increase my downloads?

Monthly downloads
My notes
Sign in to use this feature