Philosophico-Methodological Analysis of Prediction and its Role in Economics


In the methodology of scientific research programs there are important features on the problem of prediction, especially regarding novel facts. In his approach, Imre Lakatos proposed three different levels on prediction: aim, process, and assessment. Chapter 5 pays attention to the characterization of prediction in the methodology of research programs. Thus, it takes into account several features: its pragmatic characterization, the logical perspective as a proposition, the epistemological component, its role in the appraisal of research programs, and its place as a value for scientific research



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