Notre Dame Journal of Formal Logic 51 (2):207-223 (2010)
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Abstract |
The probability that a fair coin tossed yesterday landed heads is either 0 or 1, but the probability that it would land heads was 0.5. In order to account for the latter type of probabilities, past probabilities, a temporal restriction operator is introduced and axiomatically characterized. It is used to construct a representation of conditional past probabilities. The logic of past probabilities turns out to be strictly weaker than the logic of standard probabilities
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Keywords | past probability objective probability temporal restriction propensity chance |
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DOI | 10.1215/00294527-2010-013 |
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References found in this work BETA
Two Mistakes About Credence and Chance.Ned Hall - 2004 - Australasian Journal of Philosophy 82 (1):93 – 111.
The Two Concepts of Probability: The Problem of Probability.Rudolf Carnap - 1945 - Philosophy and Phenomenological Research 5 (4):513-532.
Twenty-One Arguments Against Propensity Analyses of Probability.Antony Eagle - 2004 - Erkenntnis 60 (3):371–416.
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