Exhuming the No-Miracles Argument

Analysis 73 (2):205-211 (2013)
  Copy   BIBTEX


The No-Miracles Argument has a natural representation as a probabilistic argument. As such, it commits the base-rate fallacy. In this article, I argue that a recent attempt to show that there is still a serviceable version that avoids the base-rate fallacy fails, and with it all realistic hope of resuscitating the argument



    Upload a copy of this work     Papers currently archived: 94,517

External links

Setup an account with your affiliations in order to access resources via your University's proxy server

Through your library

Similar books and articles

The probabilistic no miracles argument.Jan Sprenger - 2016 - European Journal for Philosophy of Science 6 (2):173-189.
Kuhnian theory-choice and virtue convergence: Facing the base rate fallacy.Samuel Schindler - 2017 - Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A 64:30-37.
No Surprises.Ian Wells - 2019 - Erkenntnis 86 (2):389-406.
Does the miracle argument embody a base rate fallacy?Cornelis Menke - 2014 - Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A 45:103-108.
Is the replication crisis a base-rate fallacy?Bengt Autzen - 2021 - Theoretical Medicine and Bioethics 42 (5):233-243.
Realist Ennui and the Base Rate Fallacy.P. D. Magnus & Craig Callender - 2004 - Philosophy of Science 71 (3):320-338.


Added to PP

321 (#67,771)

6 months
40 (#111,738)

Historical graph of downloads
How can I increase my downloads?

Author's Profile

Colin Howson
Last affiliation: London School of Economics

References found in this work

Realism and the aim of science.Karl R. Popper - 1983 - New York: Routledge. Edited by William Warren Bartley.
Mathematics and Reality.Mary Leng - 2010 - Oxford: Oxford University Press.

View all 10 references / Add more references