Maintaining credibility when communicating uncertainty: the role of directionality
Thinking and Reasoning 27 (1):97-123 (2020)
Abstract
Risk communicators often need to communicate probabilistic predictions. On occasion, an event with 10% likelihood will occur, or one with 90% likelihood will not – a probabilistically unexpected ou...My notes
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References found in this work
Information leakage from logically equivalent frames.Shlomi Sher & Craig R. M. McKenzie - 2006 - Cognition 101 (3):467-494.
Surprises: low probabilities or high contrasts?Karl Halvor Teigen & Gideon Keren - 2003 - Cognition 87 (2):55-71.
Estimating the probability of negative events.Adam J. L. Harris, Adam Corner & Ulrike Hahn - 2009 - Cognition 110 (1):51-64.
