Sophia 52 (3):425-445 (2013)

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Abstract
Skeptical theists argue that no seemingly unjustified evil (SUE) could ever lower the probability of God's existence at all. Why? Because God might have justifying reasons for allowing such evils (JuffREs) that are undetectable. However, skeptical theists are unclear regarding whether or not God's existence is relevant to the existence of JuffREs, and whether or not God's existence is relevant to their detectability. But I will argue that, no matter how the skeptical theist answers these questions, it is undeniable that the skeptical theist is wrong; SUEs lower the probability of God's existence. To establish this, I will consider the four scenarios regarding the relevance of God's existence to the existence and detectability of JuffREs, and show that in each—after we establish our initial probabilities, and then update them given the evidence of a SUE—the probability of God's existence drops
Keywords Skeptical theism  Atheism  Rowe  Wykstra  Problem of evil  Evidential problem of evil  Howard-Snyder  Bergmann  Trakakis  Bayes’ theorem
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DOI 10.1007/s11841-012-0326-0
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Providence and the Problem of Evil.Richard Swinburne - 1998 - Oxford University Press UK.
The Problem of Evil and Some Varieties of Atheism.William L. Rowe - 1979 - American Philosophical Quarterly 16 (4):335 - 341.
The Problem of Evil.Michael Tooley - 2019 - Cambridge University Press.

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