Probabilistic Causality: A Rejoinder to Ellery Eells

Philosophy of Science 57 (4):690 - 698 (1990)
In an earlier paper (Dupré 1984), I criticized a thesis sometimes defended by theorists of probabilistic causality, namely, that a probabilistic cause must raise the probability of its effect in every possible set of causally relevant background conditions (the "contextual unanimity thesis"). I also suggested that a more promising analysis of probabilistic causality might be sought in terms of statistical relevance in a fair sample. Ellery Eells (1987) has defended the contextual unanimity thesis against my objections, and also raised objections of his own to my positive claims. In this paper I defend and amplify both my objections to the contextual unanimity thesis and my constructive suggestion
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DOI 10.1086/289588
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Probabilistic Causality Reexamined.Greg Ray - 1992 - Erkenntnis 36 (2):219 - 244.

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