Episteme 13 (4):529-538 (2016)

Authors
Katia Vavova
Mount Holyoke College
Abstract
Alan Hájek launches a formidable attack on the idea that deliberation crowds out prediction – that when we are deliberating about what to do, we cannot rationally accommodate evidence about what we are likely to do. Although Hájek rightly diagnoses the problems with some of the arguments for the view, his treatment falls short in crucial ways. In particular, he fails to consider the most plausible version of the view, the best argument for it, and why anyone would ever believe it in the first place. In doing so, he misses a deep puzzle about deliberation and prediction – a puzzle which all of us, as agents, face, and which we may be able to resolve by recognizing the complicated relationship between deliberation and prediction.
Keywords deliberation  prediction  epistemology  action
Categories (categorize this paper)
DOI 10.1017/epi.2016.28
Options
Edit this record
Mark as duplicate
Export citation
Find it on Scholar
Request removal from index
Revision history

Download options

PhilArchive copy

 PhilArchive page | Other versions
External links

Setup an account with your affiliations in order to access resources via your University's proxy server
Configure custom proxy (use this if your affiliation does not provide a proxy)
Through your library

References found in this work BETA

Promising Against the Evidence.Berislav Marušić - 2013 - Ethics 123 (2):292-317.
Deliberation Welcomes Prediction.Alan H’Ajek - 2016 - Episteme 13 (4):507-528.

Add more references

Citations of this work BETA

No citations found.

Add more citations

Similar books and articles

Against Deliberation Restrictions.Garrett Pendergraft - 2014 - Religious Studies 50 (3):341-357.
Astroturfing Infotopia.Gerry Mackie - 2009 - Theoria: A Journal of Social and Political Theory 56 (119):30-56.
Astroturfing Infotopia.Gerry Mackie - 2009 - Theoria: A Journal of Social and Political Theory 56 (120):30-56.
Deliberators Must Be Imperfect.Derek Clayton Baker - 2015 - Philosophy and Phenomenological Research 90 (3):321-347.
Deliberation, Prediction, and Knowledge.Marion Ledwig - 2002 - Conceptus: Zeitschrift Fur Philosophie 35 (86-88):75-101.
Is Prediction Possible in General Relativity?John Byron Manchak - 2008 - Foundations of Physics 38 (4):317-321.
Worldwide Deliberation and Public Use of Reason Online.May Thorseth - 2006 - Ethics and Information Technology 8 (4):243-252.
Consensus by Aggregation and Deliberation.Richard Bradley - 2007 - Hommage a Wlodek: Philosophical Papers Dedicated to Wlodek Rabinowicz.
Omniscience and Deliberation.Bruce R. Reichenbach - 1984 - International Journal for Philosophy of Religion 16 (3):225 - 236.

Analytics

Added to PP index
2017-03-10

Total views
389 ( #22,162 of 2,448,684 )

Recent downloads (6 months)
47 ( #14,133 of 2,448,684 )

How can I increase my downloads?

Downloads

My notes