Behavioral and Brain Sciences 30 (3):270-271 (2007)

Abstract
The hypothesis that structural properties and not frequencies per se improve base-rate sensitivity is supported from the perspective of natural sampling. Natural sampling uses a special frequency format that makes base-rates redundant. Unfortunately, however, it does not allow us to empirically investigate human understanding of essential properties of uncertainty – most importantly, the understanding of conditional probabilities in Bayes' Theorem
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DOI 10.1017/S0140525X07001793
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Towards a Mental Probability Logic.Niki Pfeifer & G. D. Kleiter - 2005 - Psychologica Belgica 45 (1):71--99.
Propagating Imprecise Probabilities in Bayesian Networks.Gernot D. Kleiter - 1996 - Artificial Intelligence 88 (1-2):143-161.

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