The lottery paradox, epistemic justification and permissibility

Analysis 72 (1):57-60 (2012)
  Copy   BIBTEX

Abstract

The lottery paradox can be solved if epistemic justification is assumed to be a species of permissibility. Given this assumption, the starting point of the paradox can be formulated as the claim that, for each lottery ticket, I am permitted to believe that it will lose. This claim is ambiguous between two readings, depending on the scope of ‘permitted’. On one reading, the claim is false; on another, it is true, but, owing to the general failure of permissibility to agglomerate, does not generate the paradox. The solution generalizes to formulations of the paradox in terms of rational acceptability and doxastic rationality

Links

PhilArchive



    Upload a copy of this work     Papers currently archived: 91,122

External links

Setup an account with your affiliations in order to access resources via your University's proxy server

Through your library

Similar books and articles

The Sequential Lottery Paradox.I. Douven - 2012 - Analysis 72 (1):55-57.
The Lottery Paradox Generalized?Jake Chandler - 2010 - British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 61 (3):667-679.
A Review of the Lottery Paradox.Gregory Wheeler - 2007 - In William Harper & Gregory Wheeler (eds.), Probability and Inference: Essays in Honour of Henry E. Kyburg, Jr. College Publications.
Lotteries, Probabilities, and Permissions.Clayton Littlejohn - 2012 - Logos and Episteme 3 (3):509-14.
Generalizing the lottery paradox.Igor Douven & Timothy Williamson - 2006 - British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 57 (4):755-779.
The epistemic virtues of consistency.Sharon Ryan - 1996 - Synthese 109 (2):121-141.
Rationality and epistemic paradox.Frederick Kroon - 1993 - Synthese 94 (3):377 - 408.
A paradox of justified believing.Colin Cheyne - 2009 - Ratio 22 (3):278-290.

Analytics

Added to PP
2011-12-08

Downloads
365 (#51,679)

6 months
18 (#115,893)

Historical graph of downloads
How can I increase my downloads?

Author's Profile

Thomas Kroedel
Universität Hamburg

References found in this work

The Lottery Paradox and Our Epistemic Goal.Igor Douven - 2008 - Pacific Philosophical Quarterly 89 (2):204-225.

Add more references