Tracking track records, I

From a reliabilist point of view, our inferential practices make us into instruments for determining the truth value of hypotheses where, like all instruments, reliability is a central virtue. I apply this perspective to second-order inductions, the inductive assessments of inductive practices. Such assessments are extremely common, for example whenever we test the reliability of our instruments or our informants. Nevertheless, the inductive assessment of induction has had a bad name ever since David Hume maintained that any attempt to justify induction by means of an inductive argument must beg the question. I will consider how the inductive justification of induction fares from the reliabilist point of view. I will also consider two other wellknown arguments that can be construed as inductive assessments of induction. One is the miracle argument, according to which the truth of scientific theories should be inferred as the best explanation of their predictive success; the other is the disaster argument, according to which we should infer that all present and future theories are false on the grounds that all past theories have been found to be false
Keywords No keywords specified (fix it)
Categories (categorize this paper)
DOI 10.1111/1467-8349.00069
 Save to my reading list
Follow the author(s)
My bibliography
Export citation
Find it on Scholar
Edit this record
Mark as duplicate
Revision history
Request removal from index
Download options
Our Archive

Upload a copy of this paper     Check publisher's policy     Papers currently archived: 29,492
Through your library
References found in this work BETA

No references found.

Add more references

Citations of this work BETA
What is Scientific Progress?Alexander Bird - 2007 - Noûs 41 (1):64–89.
Why the Ultimate Argument for Scientific Realism Ultimately Fails.Moti Mizrahi - 2012 - Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A 43 (1):132-138.
Causes of Causes.Alex Broadbent - 2012 - Philosophical Studies 158 (3):457-476.

View all 14 citations / Add more citations

Similar books and articles
Tracking Track Records, II.John Worrall - 2000 - Aristotelian Society Supplementary Volume 74 (1):207–235.
Tracking Track Records.John Worrall - 2000 - Proceedings of the Aristotelian Society 74 (1):207-35.
Some Problems of Counter‐Inductive Policy as Opposed to Inductive.Audun Öfsti - 1962 - Inquiry : An Interdisciplinary Journal of Philosophy 5 (1-4):267-283.
A Material Theory of Induction.John D. Norton - 2003 - Philosophy of Science 70 (4):647-670.
Induction and Reasoning to the Best Explanation.R. A. Fumerton - 1980 - Philosophy of Science 47 (4):589-600.
Added to PP index

Total downloads
81 ( #65,890 of 2,180,630 )

Recent downloads (6 months)
1 ( #302,011 of 2,180,630 )

How can I increase my downloads?

Monthly downloads
My notes
Sign in to use this feature

There  are no threads in this forum
Nothing in this forum yet.

Other forums