Australasian Journal of Philosophy 97 (1):136-150 (2019)

Authors
Yang Liu
Cambridge University
Huw Price
Cambridge University
Abstract
There is a long-standing disagreement in the philosophy of probability and Bayesian decision theory about whether an agent can hold a meaningful credence about an upcoming action, while she deliberates about what to do. Can she believe that it is, say, 70% probable that she will do A, while she chooses whether to do A? No, say some philosophers, for Deliberation Crowds Out Prediction (DCOP), but others disagree. In this paper, we propose a valid core for DCOP, and identify terminological causes for some of the apparent disputes.
Keywords credence  deliberation  prediction  agency  transparency
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Reprint years 2018, 2019
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DOI 10.1080/00048402.2018.1427119
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References found in this work BETA

The Dynamics of Rational Deliberation.Brian Skyrms - 1990 - Harvard University Press.
Evidence, Decision and Causality.Arif Ahmed - 2014 - Cambridge University Press.
Authority and Estrangement: An Essay on Self-Knowledge.Richard Moran - 2004 - Philosophy and Phenomenological Research 69 (2):448-454.

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Citations of this work BETA

Agency and Evidence.Berislav Marusic & John Schwenkler - forthcoming - In Luca Ferrero (ed.), The Routledge Handbook of Agency. Routledge. pp. 244-252.
Two Tales of Epistemic Models.Yang Liu - 2019 - Thought: A Journal of Philosophy 8 (4):291-302.

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