A Naturalist’s Guide to Objective Chance

Philosophy of Science 84 (3):480-499 (2017)

Nina Emery
Mount Holyoke College
I argue that there are such things as nomological probabilities—probabilities that play a certain explanatory role with respect to stable, long-run relative frequencies. Indeed, I argue, we should be willing to accept nomological probabilities even if they turn out to be metaphysically weird or even wholly sui generis entities. I then give an example of one way in which this argument should shape future work on the metaphysics of chance by describing a challenge to a common group of analyses of objective probability—Humean analyses— understood as analyses of nomological probability.
Keywords Chance
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Reprint years 2017
DOI 10.1086/692144
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