Uncertainty Without All the Doubt

Mind and Language 30 (1):70-94 (2015)
  Copy   BIBTEX

Abstract

I investigate whether degreed beliefs are able to play the predictive, explanatory, and modeling roles that they are frequently taken to play. The investigation focuses on evidence—both from sources familiar in epistemology as well as recent work in behavioral economics and cognitive psychology—of variability in agents' apparent degrees of belief. Although such variability has been noticed before, there has been little philosophical discussion of its breadth or of the psychological mechanisms underlying it. Once these are appreciated, the inadequacy of degrees of belief becomes clear. I offer a theoretical alternative to degrees of belief, what I call the filter theory

Similar books and articles

Rational Agnosticism and Degrees of Belief.Jane Friedman - 2013 - Oxford Studies in Epistemology 4:57.
Beliefs do not come in degrees.Andrew Moon - 2017 - Canadian Journal of Philosophy 47 (6):760-778.
Inquiry and Belief.Jane Friedman - 2017 - Noûs 53 (2):296-315.
Inference to the Best Explanation Made Incoherent.Nevin Climenhaga - 2017 - Journal of Philosophy 114 (5):251-273.
Degrees of belief, expected and actual.Rosanna Keefe - 2017 - Synthese 194 (10):3789-3800.
What are degrees of belief.Lina Eriksson & Alan Hájek - 2007 - Studia Logica 86 (2):185-215.
Acting on belief functions.Nicholas J. J. Smith - 2023 - Theory and Decision 95 (4):575-621.

Analytics

Added to PP
2014-03-11

Downloads
941 (#15,721)

6 months
101 (#49,429)

Historical graph of downloads
How can I increase my downloads?

Author's Profile

Aaron Norby
Yale University (PhD)

References found in this work

Knowledge and its limits.Timothy Williamson - 2000 - New York: Oxford University Press.
Two Dogmas of Empiricism.W. Quine - 1951 - [Longmans, Green].
Knowledge and lotteries.John Hawthorne - 2004 - New York: Oxford University Press.
An essay concerning human understanding.John Locke - 1689 - New York: Oxford University Press. Edited by Pauline Phemister.

View all 62 references / Add more references