Oaksford & Chater's theory of reasoning: High prior, lower posterior plausibility

Behavioral and Brain Sciences 32 (1):95-96 (2009)
Abstract
Oaksford & Chater (O&C) subscribe to the view that a conditional expresses a high conditional probability of the consequent, given the antecedent, but they model conditionals as expressing a dependency between antecedent and consequent. Therefore, their model is inconsistent with their theoretical commitment. The model is also inconsistent with some findings on how people interpret conditionals and how they reason from them
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DOI 10.1017/S0140525X09000417
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