Is consistency always epistemically virtuous? In this paper, I examine one threat to the traditional view that consistency is a minimum requirement for rational belief. Central to the argument is the notion of epistemic probability, understood as the degree of support or confirmation provided by the total available evidence. My strategy in examining this argument is to apply analogous reasoning to carefully tailored examples. The conclusions which emerge are substantive, informative and utterly implausible. I conclude, first, that the argument for inconsistency fails and, second, that it fails because epistemic probability does not conform to the axioms of the probability calculus. A plausible alternate model for determining degree of support is briefly considered.
Keywords Conference Proceedings  Contemporary Philosophy
Categories No categories specified
(categorize this paper)
ISBN(s) 9781634350518
DOI 10.5840/wcp20-paideia199845886
Edit this record
Mark as duplicate
Export citation
Find it on Scholar
Request removal from index
Revision history

Download options

PhilArchive copy

Upload a copy of this paper     Check publisher's policy     Papers currently archived: 60,842
External links

Setup an account with your affiliations in order to access resources via your University's proxy server
Configure custom proxy (use this if your affiliation does not provide a proxy)
Through your library

References found in this work BETA

No references found.

Add more references

Citations of this work BETA

No citations found.

Add more citations

Similar books and articles

In Defence of the Dutch Book Argument.Barbara Davidson & Robert Pargetter - 1985 - Canadian Journal of Philosophy 15 (3):405 - 423.
Probability and Human Rationality.Lyle David Zynda - 1995 - Dissertation, Princeton University
Calibration.Paul Weirich - 2009 - In Henk W. de Regt (ed.), Epsa Philosophy of Science: Amsterdam 2009. Springer. pp. 415--425.
A Theistic Conception of Probability.Richard Otte - 1987 - Faith and Philosophy 4 (4):427-447.
A Nonpragmatic Vindication of Probabilism.James M. Joyce - 1998 - Philosophy of Science 65 (4):575-603.
Luck, Knowledge, and Epistemic Probability.Gregory Stoutenburg - 2020 - Logos and Episteme 11 (1):97-109.
Counterfactuals and Epistemic Probability.R. Otte - 2006 - Synthese 152 (1):81-93.
Knowledge, Certainty and Probability.Herbert Heidelberger - 1963 - Inquiry: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Philosophy 6 (1-4):242 – 250.
Contemporary Epistemic Logic and the Lockean Thesis.Lorenz6 Demey - 2013 - Foundations of Science 18 (4):599-610.


Added to PP index

Total views
1 ( #1,481,233 of 2,438,881 )

Recent downloads (6 months)
1 ( #434,842 of 2,438,881 )

How can I increase my downloads?


Sorry, there are not enough data points to plot this chart.

My notes