Analysis 72 (3):488-491 (2012)

Authors
Alexander R. Pruss
Baylor University
Abstract
A simple argument is given that shows that conditional probabilities do not supervene on unconditional probabilities. In particular, one cannot in general define conditional probabilities using the ratio formula P ( U | V ) = P ( U & V )/ P ( U ), or using any more sophisticated method based on unconditional probabilities
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DOI 10.1093/analys/ans076
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