Does practical deliberation crowd out self-prediction?

Erkenntnis 57 (1):91-122 (2002)
It is a popular view thatpractical deliberation excludes foreknowledge of one's choice. Wolfgang Spohn and Isaac Levi have argued that not even a purely probabilistic self-predictionis available to thedeliberator, if one takes subjective probabilities to be conceptually linked to betting rates. It makes no sense to have a betting rate for an option, for one's willingness to bet on the option depends on the net gain from the bet, in combination with the option's antecedent utility, rather than on the offered odds. And even apart from this consideration, assigning probabilities to the options among which one is choosing is futile since such probabilities could be of no possible use in choice. The paper subjects these arguments to critical examination and suggests that, appearances notwithstanding, practical deliberation need not crowd outself-prediction
Keywords Philosophy   Philosophy   Epistemology   Ethics   Logic   Ontology
Categories (categorize this paper)
Reprint years 2004
DOI 10.1023/A:1020106622032
 Save to my reading list
Follow the author(s)
My bibliography
Export citation
Find it on Scholar
Edit this record
Mark as duplicate
Revision history
Request removal from index
Download options
Our Archive

Upload a copy of this paper     Check publisher's policy     Papers currently archived: 28,840
Through your library
References found in this work BETA

No references found.

Add more references

Citations of this work BETA
Deliberators Must Be Imperfect.Derek Baker - 2015 - Philosophy and Phenomenological Research 90 (3):321-347.
Deliberation Welcomes Prediction.Alan Hájek - 2016 - Episteme 13 (4):507-528.
Non-Ideal Accessibility.Holly Lawford-Smith - 2013 - Ethical Theory and Moral Practice 16 (3):653-669.

View all 12 citations / Add more citations

Similar books and articles

Monthly downloads

Added to index


Total downloads

32 ( #162,501 of 2,178,234 )

Recent downloads (6 months)

2 ( #166,094 of 2,178,234 )

How can I increase my downloads?

My notes
Sign in to use this feature

There  are no threads in this forum
Nothing in this forum yet.

Other forums