Theory and Decision 85 (1):41-60 (2018)

Jan-Willem Romeijn
University of Groningen
Olivier Roy
Universität Bayreuth
We represent consensus formation processes based on iterated opinion pooling as a dynamic approach to common knowledge of posteriors :1236–1239, 1976; Geanakoplos and Polemarchakis in J Econ Theory 28:192–200, 1982). We thus provide a concrete and plausible Bayesian rationalization of consensus through iterated pooling. The link clarifies the conditions under which iterated pooling can be rationalized from a Bayesian perspective, and offers an understanding of iterated pooling in terms of higher-order beliefs.
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DOI 10.1007/s11238-017-9633-9
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References found in this work BETA

Imprecise Probabilities.Seamus Bradley - 2019 - Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy.
Testimony as Evidence: More Problems for Linear Pooling. [REVIEW]Katie Steele - 2012 - Journal of Philosophical Logic 41 (6):983-999.

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Citations of this work BETA

Support for Geometric Pooling.Jean Baccelli & Rush T. Stewart - forthcoming - Review of Symbolic Logic:1-40.
Collective Opinion as Tendency Towards Consensus.Chenwei Shi - 2021 - Journal of Philosophical Logic 50 (3):593-613.

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