Synthese 109 (2):121-141 (1996)

Authors
Sharon Ryan
West Virginia University
Abstract
The lottery paradox has been discussed widely. The standard solution to the lottery paradox is that a ticket holder is justified in believing each ticket will lose but the ticket holder is also justified in believing not all of the tickets will lose. If the standard solution is true, then we get the paradoxical result that it is possible for a person to have a justified set of beliefs that she knows is inconsistent. In this paper, I argue that the best solution to the paradox is that a ticket holder is not justified in believing any of the tickets are losers. My solution avoids the paradoxical result of the standard solution. The solution I defend has been hastily rejected by other philosophers because it appears to lead to skepticism. I defend my solution from the threat of skepticism and give two arguments in favor of my conclusion that the ticket holder in the original lottery case is not justified in believing that his ticket will lose.
Keywords No keywords specified (fix it)
Categories (categorize this paper)
DOI 10.1007/bf00413765
Options
Edit this record
Mark as duplicate
Export citation
Find it on Scholar
Request removal from index
Revision history

Download options

PhilArchive copy


Upload a copy of this paper     Check publisher's policy     Papers currently archived: 65,703
External links

Setup an account with your affiliations in order to access resources via your University's proxy server
Configure custom proxy (use this if your affiliation does not provide a proxy)
Through your library

References found in this work BETA

Theory of Knowledge.Roderick Milton Chisholm - 1966 - Englewood Cliffs, NJ, USA: Englewood Cliffs, N.J., Prentice-Hall.
An Analysis of Knowledge and Valuation.Clarence Irving Lewis - 1946 - La Salle, IL, USA: Open Court.
The Theory of Epistemic Rationality.Richard Foley - 1987 - Harvard University Press.
Knowledge.Keith Lehrer - 1974 - Clarendon Press.
Certainty, a Refutation of Scepticism.Peter D. Klein - 1981 - University of Minnesota Press.

View all 18 references / Add more references

Citations of this work BETA

Thinking, Guessing, and Believing.Ben Holguín - forthcoming - Philosophers' Imprint:1-34.
Accuracy, Coherence and Evidence.Branden Fitelson & Kenny Easwaran - 2015 - Oxford Studies in Epistemology 5:61-96.

View all 50 citations / Add more citations

Similar books and articles

Analytics

Added to PP index
2009-01-28

Total views
116 ( #95,524 of 2,462,531 )

Recent downloads (6 months)
3 ( #223,367 of 2,462,531 )

How can I increase my downloads?

Downloads

My notes