The dynamics of indexical belief

Erkenntnis 72 (3):337 - 351 (2010)
Abstract
Indexical beliefs pose a special problem for standard theories of Bayesian updating. Sometimes we are uncertain about our location in time and space. How are we to update our beliefs in situations like these? In a stepwise fashion, I develop a constraint on the dynamics of indexical belief. As an application, the suggested constraint is brought to bear on the Sleeping Beauty problem.
Keywords Philosophy   Logic   Ethics   Ontology   Epistemology   Philosophy
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DOI 10.1007/s10670-010-9209-3
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References found in this work BETA
Knowledge and its Limits.Timothy Williamson - 2000 - Oxford University Press.
Sleeping Beauty: Reply to Elga.David Lewis - 2001 - Analysis 61 (3):171–76.
Beauty and the Bets.Christopher Hitchcock - 2004 - Synthese 139 (3):405 - 420.
Sleeping Beauty: In Defence of Elga.Cian Dorr - 2002 - Analysis 62 (4):292–296.

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Citations of this work BETA
Belief Update Across Fission: Figure 1.Wolfgang Schwarz - 2015 - British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 66 (3):659-682.

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Beliefs and Dispositions.David Hunter - 2009 - Journal of Philosophical Research 34:243-262.
The Inessential Quasi-Indexical.Peter Alward - 2009 - Philosophical Studies 145 (2):235 - 255.
Cognitive Dynamics and Indexicals.Simon Prosser - 2005 - Mind and Language 20 (4):369–391.
The Problem of the Essential Indexical.John Perry - 1979 - Noûs 13 (December):3-21.

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