Wondering what might be

Philosophical Studies 149 (3):367 - 386 (2010)
This paper explores the possibility of supplementing the suppositional view of indicative conditionals with a corresponding view of epistemic modals. The most striking feature of the suppositional view consists in its claim that indicative conditionals are to be evaluated by conditional probabilities. On the basis of a natural link between indicative conditionals and epistemic modals, a corresponding thesis about the probabilities of statements governed by epistemic modals can be derived. The paper proceeds by deriving further consequences of this thesis, in particular, the logic of epistemic modals and their logical interaction with indicative conditionals are studied.
Keywords Epistemic modals  Indicative conditionals  Suppositional view  Probabilistic validity
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Malte Willer (2011). Realizing What Might Be. Philosophical Studies 153 (3):365 - 375.

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