Black box inference: When should intervening variables be postulated?

Abstract
An empirical procedure is suggested for testing a model that postulates variables that intervene between observed causes and abserved effects against a model that includes no such postulate. The procedure is applied to two experiments in psychology. One involves a conditioning regimen that leads to response generalization; the other concerns the question of whether chimpanzees have a theory of mind.
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DOI 10.1093/bjps/49.3.469
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The Principle of Conservatism in Cognitive Ethology.Elliott Sober - 2001 - In D. Walsh (ed.), Royal Institute of Philosophy Supplement. Cambridge University Press. pp. 225-238.

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