The role of Bayesian philosophy within Bayesian model selection


Authors
Jan Sprenger
University of Turin
Abstract
Bayesian model selection has frequently been the focus of philosophical inquiry (e.g., Forster, Br J Philos Sci 46:399–424, 1995; Bandyopadhyay and Boik, Philos Sci 66:S390–S402, 1999; Dowe et al., Br J Philos Sci 58:709–754, 2007). This paper argues that Bayesian model selection procedures are very diverse in their inferential target and their justification, and substantiates this claim by means of case studies on three selected procedures: MML, BIC and DIC. Hence, there is no tight link between Bayesian model selection and Bayesian philosophy. Consequently, arguments for or against Bayesian reasoning based on properties of Bayesian model selection procedures should be treated with great caution
Keywords Model selection  Bayesianism  Probability  BIC  MML
Categories (categorize this paper)
ISBN(s)
DOI 10.1007/s13194-012-0059-5
Options
Edit this record
Mark as duplicate
Export citation
Find it on Scholar
Request removal from index
Revision history

Download options

Our Archive


Upload a copy of this paper     Check publisher's policy     Papers currently archived: 46,223
Through your library

References found in this work BETA

Bayes or Bust?John Earman - 1992 - Bradford.
Prediction Versus Accommodation and the Risk of Overfitting.Christopher Hitchcock & Elliott Sober - 2004 - British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 55 (1):1-34.

View all 17 references / Add more references

Citations of this work BETA

Add more citations

Similar books and articles

Statistical Model Selection Criteria and Bayesianism.I. A. Kieseppä - 2001 - Proceedings of the Philosophy of Science Association 2001 (3):S141 - S152.
Bayes Not Bust! Why Simplicity Is No Problem for Bayesians.David L. Dowe, Steve Gardner & and Graham Oppy - 2007 - British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 58 (4):709 - 754.
Bayesian Model Learning Based on Predictive Entropy.Jukka Corander & Pekka Marttinen - 2006 - Journal of Logic, Language and Information 15 (1-2):5-20.
Bayesian Probability.Patrick Maher - 2010 - Synthese 172 (1):119 - 127.
Learning Conditional Information.Igor Douven - 2012 - Mind and Language 27 (3):239-263.
Ramsey and the Measurement of Belief.Richard Bradley - 2001 - In David Corfield & Jon Williamson (eds.), Foundations of Bayesianism.
Understanding Bayesian Procedures.Robert A. M. Gregson - 1998 - Behavioral and Brain Sciences 21 (2):201-202.

Analytics

Added to PP index
2013-03-09

Total views
45 ( #197,678 of 2,285,728 )

Recent downloads (6 months)
6 ( #197,657 of 2,285,728 )

How can I increase my downloads?

Downloads

My notes

Sign in to use this feature