Erkenntnis 71 (3):355-359 (2009)

Authors
Ruth Weintraub
Tel Aviv University
Abstract
The Cable Guy will definitely come between 8 a.m. and 4 p.m., and I can bet on one of two possibilities: that he will arrive between 8 and 12, or between 12 and 4. Since I have no more information, it seems (eminently) plausible to suppose the two bets are equally attractive. Yet Hajek has presented a tantalising argument that purports to show that the later interval is, initial appearances to the contrary, more choice-worthy. In this paper, I rebut the argument.
Keywords cable-guy  paradox  rationality
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DOI 10.1007/s10670-009-9186-6
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References found in this work BETA

Epistemological Puzzles About Disagreement.Richard Feldman - 2006 - In Stephen Hetherington (ed.), Epistemology Futures. Oxford University Press. pp. 216-236.
Belief and the Will.Bas C. van Fraassen - 2010 - In Antony Eagle (ed.), Philosophy of Probability: Contemporary Readings. Routledge. pp. 235-256.
Two Principles of Bayesian Epistemology.William Talbott - 1991 - Philosophical Studies 62 (2):135-150.
The Cable Guy Paradox.A. Hajek - 2005 - Analysis 65 (2):112-119.

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