In Jai Galliott & Warren Reed (eds.), Ethics and the Future of Spying: Technology, Intelligence Collection and National Security. Routledge. pp. 80-92 (2016)

Authors
Dan Weijers
University of Waikato
Abstract
Real-world policy decisions involve trade-offs. Sometimes the trade-offs involve both the efficacy and morality of potential policies. In this chapter, the morality and likely efficacy of hiring one more spy to help anti-terrorist intelligence gathering efforts is compared to the morality and likely efficacy of implementing a prediction market on terrorism. Prediction markets on terrorism allow registered traders to buy and sell shares in predictions about terrorism-related real-world events. The comparison at the heart of this chapter is based on the assumption that it would cost about $5 million to bankroll the prediction market project, or to establish another spy, including equipment and head office support, for 15 years. The comparison reveals that implementing a prediction market on terrorism is likely to be more efficacious and less morally problematic than hiring one more spy.
Keywords Prediction Markets  Espionage  Intelligence Collection  Prediction Markets on Terrorism  Terrorism  Spy
Categories (categorize this paper)
Options
Edit this record
Mark as duplicate
Export citation
Find it on Scholar
Request removal from index
Revision history

Download options

Our Archive


Upload a copy of this paper     Check publisher's policy     Papers currently archived: 50,118
External links

Setup an account with your affiliations in order to access resources via your University's proxy server
Configure custom proxy (use this if your affiliation does not provide a proxy)
Through your library

References found in this work BETA

A Moral Analysis of Effective Prediction Markets on Terrorism.Dan Weijers - 2014 - International Journal of Technoethics 5 (1):28-43.
Is the Repugnance About Betting on Terrorist Attacks Misguided?Dan Weijers & Jennifer Richardson - 2014 - Ethics and Information Technology 16 (3):251-262.

Add more references

Citations of this work BETA

No citations found.

Add more citations

Similar books and articles

Is the Repugnance About Betting on Terrorist Attacks Misguided?Dan Weijers & Jennifer Richardson - 2014 - Ethics and Information Technology 16 (3):251-262.
A Moral Analysis of Effective Prediction Markets on Terrorism.Dan Weijers - 2014 - International Journal of Technoethics 5 (1):28-43.
Temptations and Dynamic Consistency.Enrica Carbone - 2008 - Theory and Decision 64 (2-3):229-248.
Deliberating Groups Versus Prediction Markets (or Hayek's Challenge to Habermas).Cass R. Sunstein - 2012 - In Alvin I. Goldman & Dennis Whitcomb (eds.), Episteme. Oxford University Press. pp. 192-213.
Reichenbach's Concept of Prediction.Wenceslao J. González - 1995 - International Studies in the Philosophy of Science 9 (1):37-58.
Astroturfing Infotopia.Gerry Mackie - 2009 - Theoria: A Journal of Social and Political Theory 56 (119):30-56.
Astroturfing Infotopia.Gerry Mackie - 2009 - Theoria: A Journal of Social and Political Theory 56 (120):30-56.

Analytics

Added to PP index
2017-10-26

Total views
5 ( #1,091,909 of 2,324,563 )

Recent downloads (6 months)
1 ( #682,670 of 2,324,563 )

How can I increase my downloads?

Downloads

My notes