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Nassim Nicholas Taleb [4]Nassim N. Taleb [4]
  1.  7
    Skin in the game: hidden asymmetries in daily life.Nassim Nicholas Taleb - 2018 - New York: Random House.
    #1 NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER • A bold work from the author of The Black Swan that challenges many of our long-held beliefs about risk and reward, politics and religion, finance and personal responsibility In his most provocative and practical book yet, one of the foremost thinkers of our time redefines what it means to understand the world, succeed in a profession, contribute to a fair and just society, detect nonsense, and influence others. Citing examples ranging from Hammurabi to Seneca, (...)
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  2.  67
    Roundtable 1: Public ignorance: Rational, irrational, or inevitable?Scott Althaus, Bryan Caplan, Jeffrey Friedman, Ilya Somin & Nassim Nicholas Taleb - 2008 - Critical Review: A Journal of Politics and Society 20 (4):423-444.
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  3.  39
    Finiteness of variance is irrelevant in the practice of quantitative finance.Nassim Nicholas Taleb - 2009 - Complexity 14 (3):66-76.
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  4. The silver rule of acting under uncertainty.Constantine Sandis & Nassim N. Taleb - 2014 - The Philosophers' Magazine 66:84-88.
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  5. The Future Has Thicker Tails than the Past: Model Error as Branching Counterfactuals.Nassim N. Taleb - manuscript
    Ex ante predicted outcomes should be interpreted as counterfactuals (potential histories), with errors as the spread between outcomes. But error rates have error rates. We reapply measurements of uncertainty about the estimation errors of the estimation errors of an estimation treated as branching counterfactuals. Such recursions of epistemic uncertainty have markedly different distributial properties from conventional sampling error, and lead to fatter tails in the projections than in past realizations. Counterfactuals of error rates always lead to fat tails, regardless of (...)
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  6. Epistemology and Risk Management.Nassim N. Taleb & Avital Pilpel - 2007 - Risk and Regulation 13:6--7.
  7.  13
    The Prediction of Action.Nassim N. Taleb & Avital Pilpel - 2010 - In Timothy O'Connor & Constantine Sandis (eds.), A Companion to the Philosophy of Action. Malden, MA: Wiley-Blackwell. pp. 410–416.
    This chapter contains sections titled: Introduction Classes of Uncertainty Our Argument Predicting Other People's Action Predicting One's Own Actions Predicting Group Action The Danger of Prediction References.
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