5 found
Order:
  1.  18
    Children’s Quantitative Bayesian Inferences From Natural Frequencies and Number of Chances.Stefania Pighin, Vittorio Girotto & Katya Tentori - 2017 - Cognition 168:164-175.
    No categories
    Direct download (3 more)  
     
    Export citation  
     
    Bookmark   2 citations  
  2.  64
    Counterfactual Thoughts About Experienced, Observed, and Narrated Events.Stefania Pighin, Ruth M. J. Byrne, Donatella Ferrante, Michel Gonzalez & Vittorio Girotto - 2011 - Thinking and Reasoning 17 (2):197 - 211.
    Four studies show that observers and readers imagine different alternatives to reality. When participants read a story about a protagonist who chose the more difficult of two tasks and failed, their counterfactual thoughts focused on the easier, unchosen task. But when they observed the performance of an individual who chose and failed the more difficult task, participants' counterfactual thoughts focused on alternative ways to solve the chosen task, as did the thoughts of individuals who acted out the event. We conclude (...)
    Direct download (3 more)  
     
    Export citation  
     
    Bookmark   4 citations  
  3.  30
    Basic Understanding of Posterior Probability.Vittorio Girotto & Stefania Pighin - 2015 - Frontiers in Psychology 6.
    Direct download (5 more)  
     
    Export citation  
     
    Bookmark   2 citations  
  4.  10
    The Effect of Evidential Impact on Perceptual Probabilistic Judgments.Marta Mangiarulo, Stefania Pighin, Luca Polonio & Katya Tentori - 2021 - Cognitive Science 45 (1):e12919.
    In a series of three behavioral experiments, we found a systematic distortion of probability judgments concerning elementary visual stimuli. Participants were briefly shown a set of figures that had two features (e.g., a geometric shape and a color) with two possible values each (e.g., triangle or circle and black or white). A figure was then drawn, and participants were informed about the value of one of its features (e.g., that the figure was a “circle”) and had to predict the value (...)
    Direct download (4 more)  
     
    Export citation  
     
    Bookmark  
  5.  16
    Interpolating Causal Mechanisms: The Paradox of Knowing More.Simon Stephan, Katya Tentori, Stefania Pighin & Michael R. Waldmann - 2021 - Journal of Experimental Psychology: General 150 (8):1500-1527.
    Causal knowledge is not static; it is constantly modified based on new evidence. The present set of seven experiments explores 1 important case of causal belief revision that has been neglected in research so far: causal interpolations. A simple prototypic case of an interpolation is a situation in which we initially have knowledge about a causal relation or a positive covariation between 2 variables but later become interested in the mechanism linking these 2 variables. Our key finding is that the (...)
    Direct download (2 more)  
     
    Export citation  
     
    Bookmark