23 found
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Stephen Spielman [24]Stephen Martin Spielman [1]
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Stephen Spielman
University of Pennsylvania (PhD)
  1.  22
    Epistemology and Inference.Stephen Spielman - 1983 - Univ of Minnesota Press.
    Epistemology and Inference was first published in 1983. Minnesota Archive Editions uses digital technology to make long-unavailable books once again accessible, and are published unaltered from the original University of Minnesota Press editions. Henry Kyburg has developed an original and important perspective on probabilistic and statistical inference. Unlike much contemporary writing by philosophers on these topics, Kyburg's work is informed by issues that have arisen in statistical theory and practice as well as issues familiar to professional philosophers. In two major (...)
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  2.  23
    Inference, Method and Decision: Towards a Bayesian Philosophy of Science.Stephen Spielman - 1981 - Journal of Philosophy 78 (6):356-367.
  3. The logic of tests of significance.Stephen Spielman - 1974 - Philosophy of Science 41 (3):211-226.
    In spite of the fact that the Neyman-Pearson theory of testing is the official theory of statistical testing, most research publications in the social sciences use a pattern of inductive reasoning that is characteristic of Fisherian tests of significance. The exact structure and rationale of this pattern of reasoning is widely misunderstood. The goal of the paper is to describe precisely the pattern and its rationale, and to show that while it is far more cogent than Fisher's critics have realized, (...)
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  4.  5
    Probability and Evidence.Stephen Spielman - 1984 - Journal of Philosophy 81 (3):168-173.
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  5.  72
    A refutation of the Neyman-Pearson theory of testing.Stephen Spielman - 1973 - British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 24 (3):201-222.
  6.  44
    Physical probability and bayesian statistics.Stephen Spielman - 1977 - Synthese 36 (2):235 - 269.
  7.  41
    On the infirmities of Gillies's rule.Stephen Spielman - 1974 - British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 25 (3):261-265.
  8.  26
    Lewis on immodest inductive models.Stephen Spielman - 1972 - Philosophy of Science 39 (3):375-377.
    In a recent paper [2] David Lewis offered an extremely interesting and, if correct, important solution to the main unsolved problem of Carnap's program for inductive logic—the choice of an appropriate C-function. The gist of Lewis' solution is to first obtain a pilot sample from the target population and then select, on the basis of this sample, from among the immodestλ-methods. An immodest inductive method is one which estimates that the mean squared error of its estimates of population relative frequencies (...)
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  9.  88
    Logic and Gambling.Stephen Spielman - manuscript
    This paper outlines a formal recursive wager resolution calculus (WRC) that provides a novel conceptual framework for sentential logic via bridge rules that link wager resolution with truth values. When paired with a traditional truth-centric criterion of logical soundness WRC generates a sentential logic that is broadly truth-conditional but not truth-functional, supports the rules of proof employed in standard mathematics, and is immune to the most vexing features of their traditional implementation. WRC also supports a novel probabilistic criterion of logical (...)
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  10. Levi on personalism and revisionism.Stephen Spielman - 1975 - Journal of Philosophy 72 (21):785-793.
  11.  33
    Statistical dogma and the logic of significance testing.Stephen Spielman - 1978 - Philosophy of Science 45 (1):120-135.
    In a recent note Roger Carlson presented a rather negative appraisal of my treatment of the logic of Fisherian significance testing in [10]. The main issue between us involves Carlson's thesis that, within the limits set by Fisher, standard significance tests are valuable tools of data analysis as they stand, i.e., without modification of the structure of the reasoning they employ. Call this the adequacy thesis. In my paper I argued that the pattern of reasoning employed by tests of significance (...)
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  12.  59
    Comments on Joseph Agassi.Stephen Spielman - 1975 - Synthese 30 (1-2):15 - 23.
  13.  31
    Epistemology and Inference. Henry E. Kyburg, Jr. [REVIEW]Stephen Spielman - 1986 - Philosophy of Science 53 (1):149-150.
  14.  16
    Seidenfeld's critique of Kyburgian statistics.Stephen Spielman - 1980 - Journal of Philosophy 77 (12):791-797.
    Seidenfeld's Critique of HenryKyburg's statistical treatment of probability is shown to be unjustified.
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  15.  7
    Studies in Inductive Logic and Probability: Volume II.Stephen Spielman - 1982 - Philosophy of Science 49 (2):293-295.
  16. Isaac Levi: "The Enterprise of Knowledge: An Essay on Knowledge, Credal Probability and Chance". [REVIEW]Stephen Spielman - 1983 - Theory and Decision 15 (2):199.
     
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  17.  21
    Probability and Evidence by Paul Horwich. [REVIEW]Stephen Spielman - 1984 - Journal of Philosophy 81 (3):168-173.
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  18.  18
    Kyburg on ignoring base rates.Stephen Spielman - 1983 - Behavioral and Brain Sciences 6 (2):261-262.
  19.  26
    Carnap's robot and inductive logic.Stephen Spielman - 1976 - Journal of Philosophical Logic 5 (3):407 - 415.
  20.  9
    Bayesian Inference with Indeterminate Probabilities.Stephen Spielman - 1976 - PSA: Proceedings of the Biennial Meeting of the Philosophy of Science Association 1976:185 - 196.
    The theory of personal probability needs to be developed as a logic of credibility in order to provide an adequate basis for the theories of scientific inference and rational decision making. But standard systems of personal probability impose formal structures on probability relationships which are too restrictive to qualify them as logics of credibility. Moreover, some rules for conditional probability have no justification as principles of credibility. A formal system of qualitative probability which is free of these defects and which (...)
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  21.  5
    Book Review:Studies in Inductive Logic and Probability: Volume II Richard C. Jeffrey. [REVIEW]Stephen Spielman - 1982 - Philosophy of Science 49 (2):293-.
  22.  3
    Epistemology and Inference.Stephen Spielman - 1986 - Philosophy of Science 53 (1):149-150.
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  23.  21
    Exchangeability and the certainty of objective randomness.Stephen Spielman - 1976 - Journal of Philosophical Logic 5 (3):399 - 406.
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