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Two Wrongs Make a ‘Right’? Exploring the Ethical Calculus of Earnings Management Before Large Labor Dismissals

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Abstract

This paper examines whether firms strategically legitimize large labor dismissals (LLDs) by performing ex-ante downward earnings management. We further assess whether the effect is larger under stakeholder pressure and whether these practices influence the external perception of firms’ behavior. As laying off employees without an economic reason is perceived as a breach of the social contract, stakeholders pressure firms to provide economic justification for LLDs. We argue that firms strategically legitimize LLDs by artificially worsening their financial performance through downward earnings management. From a sample of European listed firms for the period 1998–2014, using a propensity score matching model to control for differences in observable characteristics between LLD and non-LLD firms, we find that firms manage their earnings downward in the year prior to LLDs. These results are more pronounced in the presence of high stakeholder pressure. As such, firms with (1) stronger trade unions, (2) higher visibility, (3) stricter employment protection legislation, and (4) more stakeholder-oriented legal environments have stronger incentives to manage earnings downward before LLDs. Finally, we document that downward earnings management prior to LLDs is effective at legitimizing LLDs, offsetting the negative external perceptions of firms in the aftermath of LLDs. This study contributes to the business ethics literature by identifying unintended consequences of stakeholder pressure around LLDs. It also brings important empirical insights into how ethically questionable decisions are strategically legitimized through further unethical practices.

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Notes

  1. Anecdotal evidence shows that in 2009 the Finnish company Nokia fired 2300 employees, despite reporting a 67% increase in profits in the prior year. Fifteen thousand people protested against Nokia’s LLDs demanding a regulatory investigation and a boycott of Nokia’s products. Following such negative reactions to the LLDs, the company estimated a drop in sales of €700 million over the period 2008–2010 (Sucher and Gupta 2018).

  2. For further information on the ICTWSS database, please refer to https://www.oecd.org/std/labor-stats/ and https://ec.europa.eu/social.

  3. We also run the tests over the period 2000–2014 to exclude potential bias due to the low number of observations over the pre-2000 period. Untabulated results are qualitatively similar to our main findings.

  4. Our measure of LLDs is consistent with definitions of layoff used by the European Commission (https://ec.europa.eu/social/) and by the European Restructuring Monitor (ERM) (https://www.ilo.org/wcmsp5/groups/public).

  5. In line with prior literature, we assume that LLDs are not the result of sudden decisions, but they are planned well in advance by management (Yawson 2006).

  6. As an alternative, we clustered standard errors by industry (SIC 2) or firm and the results are very similar. We choose to cluster standard errors by country as this is a more conservative approach.

  7. For further information, please see www.oecd.org/employment/protection.

  8. The four available items of collective dismissal in the OECD Employment Protection Legislation Database are “Definition of collective dismissal”, “Additional notification requirements in case of collective dismissals”, “Additional delays involved in case of collective dismissals”, and “Other special costs to employers in case of collective dismissals.”.

  9. We focus only on the measures of income-decreasing earnings management (EM_NA_abs and EM_DA_abs) to directly assess the impact of income-decreasing earnings management strategies pre-LLDs on the external perception of this behavior post-LLDs. The measurement noise of EM_DA, due to the fact that it also captures lower income-increasing earnings management (Gao et al. 2018), would make more difficult the interpretation of the results and limit the relevance of the analysis of the impact of EM_DA on the external perception of firms’ behavior in the aftermath of LLDs.

  10. We perform our robustness test by including firm fixed-effects in Eq. (1) to control for within-firm variation as specified in H1. As in H2 and H3 we are interested in between laying off firms variation, we do not perform this robustness test for Eqs. (2) and (3).

  11. We thank an anonymous reviewer for suggesting this test to us.

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Acknowledgements

We thank Annika Beelitz, Daniel Beneish, Abe de Jong, Elisa Giuliani, Katharina Hombach, Zhongwei Huang, Giovanna Michelon, Lee Moerman (discussant), Vlad Porumb, Joanna Sopt, Marie Anne Verdier, and Xinning Xiao for their helpful comments on earlier versions of this paper. We are grateful for the comments made at the 2018 EAA Conference, the 2018 Financial Reporting Conference, the 2018 SIDREA Conference, the 2018 A-CSEAR Conference, and to the participants at the workshops at Monash University and the University of Pisa.

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Correspondence to Alessandro Ghio.

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Appendices

Appendix 1: Measures of Earnings Management

Our measures of earnings management (EM_NA_abs, EM_DA, and EM_DA_abs) relate to the Jones Model used in prior literature (Vladu et al. 2017). We run the following Jones (1991a) model to decompose total accruals into normal and discretionary components:

$${\text{Tacc}}_{i,t} = \, a_{0} + \, a_{1} \left( {1/{\text{Assets}}_{{i,t{-}1}} } \right) \, + \, a_{1} \Delta {\text{Sales}}_{i,t} /{\text{Assets}}_{{i,t{-}1}} + \, a_{2} {\text{PPE}}_{i,t} /{\text{Assets}}_{{i,t{-}1}} + \, \Omega_{i,t}$$
(4)

where Tacci,t is total accruals, defined as the difference between operating income and operating cash flow; Assetsi, t − 1 represents total assets in t − 1; PPEi,t is the gross value of fixed assets in year t; ΔSalesi,t is growth in sales for firm i between t − 1 and t. Generally, US studies estimate Jones’ model by industry and year. In an international setting, there is a limited number of observations across numerous industries and thus industry-year regressions may produce unreliable estimates. Therefore, following He et al. (2017), we run the regressions in a given year for each country, while controlling for industry fixed-effects.

The residuals from Equation (4) measure the discretionary accruals. In this study, we focus on downward earnings management. Therefore, we examine the level of discretionary accruals (EM_DA) and negative discretionary accruals (EM_NA_abs and EM_DA_abs). We multiply the negative discretionary accruals by − 1. Greater values for EM_NA_abs and for EM_DA_abs indicate a higher level of downward earnings management for the Jones Model. Lower levels of discretionary accruals (EM_DA) can either indicate lower levels of upwards earnings management (Gao et al. 2018) or more downward earnings management (Kanagaretnam et al. 2010).

Appendix 2: Variable Definitions

Variable

Definition

Source

Earnings management variables

EM_NA_abs

Earnings Management, measured as the absolute value of the negative discretionary accruals (see Appendix 1)

EIKON

EM_DA_abs

Earnings Management, measured as the absolute value of the negative discretionary accruals and zero for positive abnormal discretionary accruals (see Appendix 1)

EIKON

EM_DA

Earnings Management, measured as the signed discretionary accruals (see Appendix 1)

EIKON

Layoff variable

Layoff

Layoff, dummy variable equals to 1 if the firm’s number of employees decreases by 10% between the periods t and t + 1, 0 otherwise

EIKON

Firm characteristic variables

Size

Firm Size, measured as the natural logarithm of total assets

EIKON

Leverage

Leverage, measured as total liabilities scaled by lagged total assets

EIKON

Large_loss

Large loss, equal to 1 if the firm’s net income is less than − 1% of assets, 0 otherwise

EIKON

Small_loss

Small loss, equal to 1 if the firm’s net income is between 0 and − 1% of assets, 0 otherwise

EIKON

PPE

Gross value of property, plant and equipment

EIKON

Sales_growth

Firm’s sales, measured as the difference in sales from year t − 1 to year t scaled by lagged total assets

EIKON

NCFO

Net cash flows from operations

EIKON

ROA

Return on Assets, measured as EBITDA scaled by lagged total assets

EIKON

Analysts

Analyst following, measured as the natural logarithm of one plus the number of Analysts following the firm

EIKON

Foreign_assets

Foreign assets, measured as foreign assets scaled by lagged total assets

EIKON

BIG4

Audit quality, equal to 1 if the auditor is one of the Big 4 audit firms, 0 otherwise

EIKON

Employment_strictness

Strictness of employment protection legislation on collective dismissals, equal to 1 if any of the four available items related to collective dismissals—“Definition of collective dismissal”, “Additional notification requirements in case of collective dismissals”, “Additional delays involved in case of collective dismissals”, and “Other special costs to employers in case of collective dismissals”—is above the sample median, 0 otherwise

OECD

Trade_unions

Trade unions strength, equal to 1 if union strength is higher than the sample median, 0 otherwise. Union strength is measured at the firm level by multiplying the union density rate (i.e., net union membership as a proportion of wage earners in employment) with the number of employees scaled by total assets

ICTWSS

Visible

Media coverage, equal to 1 if a firm’s number of press articles is higher than the median number of press articles for firms in the same decile of Size, the same country, and the same year, 0 otherwise

RavenPack

Legal_environment

Legal environment, measured as the country disclosure requirements index

LaPorta et al. (2006)

Media_sentiment

Media sentiment, equal to 1 if the media sentiment of news articles about the firm is higher than the median score of media sentiment for firms in the same decile of Size, the same country, and the same year, 0 otherwise

RavenPack

MV

Market capitalization measured as the share price multiplied by the number of shares outstanding

EIKON

CSR_report

CSR disclosure, equal to 1 if a firm issues a CSR report, 0 otherwise

EIKON

Country characteristic variables

GDP_growth

Gross Domestic Product growth of the firm’s country m from year t − 1 to year t

OECD

Corporate_tax

Corporate tax rate at the country level

OECD

Unemployment_rate

Level of unemployment at the country level in a year

OECD

Appendix 3: Legal Notice Period to Employees

This table summarizes the regulatory requirements for all sampled countries on the time lag (in days) between the announcement and the implementation of Layoffs.

Country

Notice Period to Employees (days)

Source

Austria

30

Eversheds

Belgium

60

Eversheds

Denmark

30

Eversheds

Finland

14–180

European Commission

France

30–60

Eversheds

Germany

30

Eversheds

Greece

5–160 for manual workers; 30–720 for white collar workers

European Commission

Ireland

30

Eversheds

Italy

1–120

Eversheds

Netherlands

90

Eversheds

Portugal

90

International Organization of Employers

Spain

60–150

Eversheds

Sweden

no prescribed period

Eversheds

United Kingdom

90

Eversheds

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Andreicovici, I., Cohen, N., Ferramosca, S. et al. Two Wrongs Make a ‘Right’? Exploring the Ethical Calculus of Earnings Management Before Large Labor Dismissals. J Bus Ethics 172, 379–405 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10551-020-04475-8

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